AIEnds Jan 22, 2028Will a university ban AI tools from all graded exams in 2027?63%Yes chance3.10MvolumeYes 63¢No 37¢
AIEnds Dec 31, 2027Will the US tighten export rules on AI accelerators again in 2027?44%Yes chance3.05MvolumeYes 44¢No 56¢
AIEnds Dec 9, 2027Will more than 20 S&P 500 firms cite AI when cutting staff in 2027?25%Yes chance3.00MvolumeYes 25¢No 75¢
AIEnds Nov 17, 2027Will a lab publish a model with a context window above 10 million tokens in 2027?93%Yes chance2.95MvolumeYes 93¢No 7¢
AIEnds Oct 26, 2027Will a self-driving service offer driverless rides in 10 US cities before 2028?74%Yes chance2.90MvolumeYes 74¢No 26¢
AIEnds Oct 4, 2027Will enterprise AI software revenue exceed $50 billion in 2027?55%Yes chance2.85MvolumeYes 55¢No 45¢
AIEnds Sep 12, 2027Will an open model lead a public chatbot arena for a full month in 2027?36%Yes chance2.81MvolumeYes 36¢No 64¢
AIEnds Aug 21, 2027Will Gemini be the default iPhone assistant before 2028?17%Yes chance2.76MvolumeYes 17¢No 83¢
AIEnds Jul 30, 2027Will a US state restrict AI companions for minors before 2028?85%Yes chance2.71MvolumeYes 85¢No 15¢
AIEnds Jul 8, 2027Will a training run above 10^27 FLOPs be publicly confirmed in 2027?66%Yes chance2.66MvolumeYes 66¢No 34¢
AIEnds Jun 16, 2027Will a hospital system use an AI scribe for more than half of visits in 2027?47%Yes chance2.61MvolumeYes 47¢No 53¢
AIEnds May 25, 2027Will an AI-written novel top a national fiction chart in 2027?28%Yes chance2.57MvolumeYes 28¢No 72¢
AIEnds May 3, 2027Will a Hollywood union sign a new AI clause in 2027?9%Yes chance2.52MvolumeYes 9¢No 91¢
AIEnds Apr 11, 2027Will Anthropic or OpenAI file to go public before 2028?77%Yes chance2.47MvolumeYes 77¢No 23¢
AIEnds Mar 20, 2027Will a major phone ship an on-device model above 10 billion parameters in 2027?58%Yes chance2.42MvolumeYes 58¢No 42¢
AIEnds Feb 26, 2027Will EU AI Act enforcement fine a company more than 100 million euros before 2028?39%Yes chance2.37MvolumeYes 39¢No 61¢
AIEnds Feb 4, 2027Will Nvidia ship its next data-center GPU in volume during 2027?20%Yes chance2.32MvolumeYes 20¢No 80¢
AIEnds Jan 13, 2027Will a Fortune 500 firm say AI writes more than half of its code in 2027?88%Yes chance2.28MvolumeYes 88¢No 12¢